Ocean, Climate & Ecological Models

Real-time forecasts to long-term climate projections for the North Pacific

Species Distribution Models

VAST (Vector Autoregressive Spatio-Temporal)

Gaussian Markov Random Fields framework for multi-species analysis of Alaska groundfish and invertebrates. Provides stock assessment index standardization and essential habitat modeling.

Status: Active Development
Lead: Jim Thorson (NOAA)
Alaska GroundfishGMRFMulti-species
Species Distribution Models

EcoCast Dynamic Ocean Management

Real-time species distribution predictions for swordfish, blue sharks, leatherback turtles, and sea lions using Bayesian regression trees for dynamic fisheries management and bycatch reduction.

Status: Operational Daily
Lead: Elliott Hazen (NOAA)
Real-timeBycatch ReductionDynamic Management
Species Distribution Models

WhaleWatch 2.0

Ensemble species distribution models for blue whales providing weekly updates and monthly predictions at 0.1° resolution for ship strike risk reduction.

Status: Weekly Updates
Lead: Briana Abrahms (NOAA)
Blue WhalesShip Strike RiskEnsemble Models
Species Distribution Models

Top Predator Watch

Operational daily predictions for blue, mako, white, and salmon sharks using ensemble SDMs for conservation management in the California Current.

Status: Operational Daily
Lead: Elliott Hazen (NOAA)
Shark SpeciesSurface-Only DataConservation
Species Distribution Models

Pacific Bluefin Tuna Climate Models

GAMMs with SST and ecosystem covariates for Pacific bluefin tuna recruitment forecasting and habitat modeling under marine heatwave conditions.

Status: Updated 2024
Lead: Barbara Muhling (NOAA)
Pacific BluefinRecruitmentClimate Projections
Species Distribution Models

Marine Heatwave Impact Models

Climate impact assessment for 14 top predator species including birds, sharks, and marine mammals, forecasting temperature impacts across the North Pacific.

Status: Updated 2024
Lead: Heather Welch (NOAA)
Marine HeatwavesTop PredatorsClimate Impacts
Species Distribution Models

Dynamic Bioclimate Envelope Model (DBEM)

Global species distribution model simulating changes in abundance, distribution, and body size of over 1000 marine species under climate change scenarios.

Status: Global Application
Lead: William Cheung (UBC)
Global DynamicsClimate ScenariosDistribution Shifts
Ocean & Climate Modeling

ROMS Ocean Circulation Model

Regional Ocean Modeling System for high-resolution North Pacific circulation, temperature, and biogeochemical forecasting at 0.1° resolution.

Status: Daily Updates
Lead: 0.1° Resolution
Ocean CirculationBiogeochemicalNorth Pacific
Ocean & Climate Modeling

MOM6 (Modular Ocean Model 6)

NOAA GFDL’s next-generation ocean model for global and regional climate simulations, supporting coupled frameworks and high-resolution ocean physics.

Status: Active Development
Lead: GFDL Team (NOAA)
Global-RegionalClimateHigh-Resolution
Ocean & Climate Modeling

HYCOM (Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model)

Operational ocean forecasting system from US Navy and NOAA with global data assimilation for real-time ocean prediction and forecasting applications.

Status: Operational
Lead: HYCOM Consortium
ForecastingData AssimilationOperational
Ocean & Climate Modeling

NOAA Global Marine Heatwave Forecast

Up to 12-month marine heatwave forecasts providing early warning systems for ecosystem managers and fisheries across global marine regions.

Status: Operational
Lead: Dillon Amaya, Michael Jacox (NOAA)
12-Month ForecastEarly WarningGlobal
Species Distribution Models

Essential Fish Habitat (EFH) Models

Comprehensive habitat models for 33+ species across the Eastern Bering Sea, Gulf of Alaska, and Aleutian Islands using ensemble modeling.

Status: NOAA Official
Lead: 1 km Resolution
Essential Fish HabitatAlaska GroundfishFederal Designation
Species Distribution Models

Bristol Bay Salmon Climate Models

Spatio-temporal climate models for Chinook salmon within Bristol Bay watersheds, supporting salmon management and adaptation strategies.

Status: Annual Updates
Lead: Curry Cunningham (APU)
Chinook SalmonBristol BayWatershed Scale
Ecosystem Models

Alaska Climate Integrated Modeling (ACLIM)

Multi-model ensemble projecting climate impacts on Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska ecosystems, supporting ecosystem-based fishery management.

Status: NOAA Multi-institutional
Lead: Alaska Focus
Climate ProjectionsAlaska FisheriesMulti-model
Ecosystem Models

NEMURO (North Pacific Ecosystem Model)

Pan-Pacific lower trophic level ecosystem model for phytoplankton and zooplankton dynamics, developed through multinational PICES collaboration.

Status: PICES Collaboration
Lead: Basin-wide Coverage
Lower TrophicPan-PacificMulti-national
Ecosystem Models

Atlantis Gulf of Alaska

End-to-end ecosystem model for Gulf of Alaska marine communities and fisheries. Part of GOA-CLIM Project for climate projections and yield evaluation.

Status: Active Development
Lead: Roberti Rovellini (UW/NOAA)
End-to-EndGulf of AlaskaEBFM
Ecosystem Models

Ecopath with Ecosim - Korean Waters

Food web models for East China Sea, Yellow Sea, and East Sea ecosystems. NIFS Korea’s analysis of carrying capacity and ecosystem-based management.

Status: NIFS Korea
Lead: Lee et al.
Korean WatersThree LMEsFood Web
Multi-Model Ensembles

Pacific-Wide Tuna Habitat Models

Multi-region habitat models for bigeye and yellowfin tuna developed through NOAA, WCPFC, and IATTC partnerships supporting international fisheries.

Status: Operational
Lead: International Teams
Pacific TunaYellowfin-BigeyeInternational
Multi-Model Ensembles

FishMIP (Fisheries Model Intercomparison Project)

Global ensemble framework uniting 100+ institutions for climate impact assessment, fisheries projections, and policy support using ecosystem models.

Status: International Collaboration
Lead: Global-Regional
Ensemble FrameworkClimate Projections100+ Institutions

Welcome to the North Pacific Ocean Knowledge Network Dashboard

This interactive platform connects and synthesizes information about changing ocean conditions, key species, and management approaches across the North Pacific. The North Pacific Ocean Knowledge Network is being developed through the Basin-scale Events and Coastal Impacts (BECI) project to transform fragmented research and data into accessible, actionable insights that support climate-informed fisheries management and conservation decisions across jurisdictions.

Demo Platform Notice

This demonstration showcases the platform's structure and functionality. Some content is illustrative to demonstrate proof-of-concept capabilities. Information presented here should not be used for management decisions or policy development. The full operational platform will contain only verified, peer-reviewed, and validated information from authoritative sources.